The black line is experiencing a thrilling market, and the recent surge has been the main force in advance.

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Source: Golden Ten Data

On the opening of the market on Monday, the black futures suffered a thrilling market. The black-based futures collectively rose, and the main force of rebar and hot-rolled futures closed the daily limit, and the main iron ore rose by 6%. Then less than 15 minutes, the iron ore increase quickly narrowed to 3.7%, rebar, hot coil open.

In fact, last week's black futures market has seen a new wave of crazy rise, the market has expected the bull market has arrived. In the first half of this year, the black rebar and iron ore futures varieties really took the limelight. In addition to the volume and turnover of the top two varieties, the positions are also among the best in the industry. In 2017, with the reform of the steel and coal supply side into the deep water area, the black series also received attention from the market and became one of the most popular varieties in the futures market in the first half of this year.

The most striking thing in the near future is undoubtedly rebar. After experiencing a shock period of nearly six months in the first half of the year, the main contract started a wave of rising prices on June 27th. Last week's main contract hit a new high of more than four years, which made many still in the turbulent thinking. The trader looks blank. Although many analysts believe that the fundamental factors such as the supply side are the biggest drivers of the black line, but from the recent trend of rebar, especially the trend of the opening on Monday, this may be a "scam" that the bulls are ahead of schedule. ", tempting newcomers or retail investors to do more, and then step on the huge losses.

From the trend of Friday, the thread has risen all the way from the night plate. The main force is clear and the momentum is sufficient, but there are some retracements in the late session. Although there was no extreme daily limit in the last two days, it can be seen that the main force is full of power. Due to the reason of switching contracts, it is really affecting the long-term strength when the contract is pulled up. Huaan Futures pointed out:

"The increase from Wednesday to Friday is a daily limit, but the height is not cold, the higher the position, the more the main washing and floating surplus will increase, the chance of emptying the position increases, and the market will oscillate at a later stage. It will definitely intensify, and the sudden market should increase. The market that quickly falls back after the opening of the market on Monday is the best proof."

Not only the rebar, but also the black futures market is obviously in a short-selling market. The next big and powerful protagonist is still likely to continue to lure through the technical signal layout such as indicator deviation, which is good for short-term traders. Opportunity, but before the order is placed, the so-called "bull market" and other signals must be carefully identified, and arbitrage traders must plan for risk control and position management in advance.

Enter [Sina Finance and Economics Unit] Discussion

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