2011 Chinese painting and calligraphy are still promising

In the 2010 art market, Chinese painting and calligraphy occupies an absolute advantage, and the price has once again climbed to a new level, rewriting the concept of "high price" of Chinese art. The prices of many modern and contemporary masterpieces have soared and have steadily increased. In the 2011 market, what kind of opportunities and challenges will Chinese painting and calligraphy face? Can you keep on rising?

Many professionals were optimistic about the overall market for Chinese calligraphy and painting in 2011 during the interview. This kind of optimism is supported by many factors: First, China's macroeconomic situation is promising and the general direction of development remains unchanged. This is the fundamental reason for the continued development of the art market; furthermore, although the current painting and calligraphy market has many bubbles, some things have grown too fast. However, according to the laws of the market for more than 20 years, the adjustment period of the art market is getting shorter and shorter, and the time for digesting bubbles is getting faster and faster. Secondly, the market share of the art market is still small, and there is still huge room for development. In addition, more and more people have been involved in the collection and investment of paintings and paintings in recent years, injecting fresh blood for the development of the market, and objectively stimulating the continued growth of the painting and calligraphy market. Taken together, in 2011, the growing trend of Chinese calligraphy and painting will continue.

The spring of ancient paintings is yet to come

In 2010, “Tai Zhu Ming” and “Cold Food Posting” set a new record for auctions of ancient Chinese paintings and calligraphy, creating a new high for Chinese painting and calligraphy prices, and the overall price of ancient paintings and calligraphy also showed a sharp rise. However, ancient paintings and paintings have always been in the stage of being recognized and understood. Prices have been seriously underestimated. In recent years, they have also been at the stage of value discovery and return.

Although in 2010 there were more than 100 million yuan worth of prices for ancient paintings and calligraphy, "only the market can be said to be good," and the ancient calligraphy and painting market is still far away. At present, many of the high prices of ancient calligraphy and painting are limited to the "Shiqu Baodi". Today's buyers place undue emphasis on "Shiqu Baodi". Many buyers are superstitious of "court collections" and "royal artefacts" and feel that buying such works is reliable. The value-added range is large. In addition, some of the works whose performance is not high are overdone, rather than priced according to the artistic value of ancient paintings.

The scarcity, artistic and historical value of ancient calligraphy and painting work determine its leading position in the market price. Therefore, the market of ancient calligraphy and painting will continue to be optimistic.

Modern paintings need to be re-excavated

Modern works of calligraphy and painting have many worlds, they have the largest circulation in the market, and they are the most easily realized. They have always occupied the largest share of Chinese painting and calligraphy. In 2011, modern paintings and calligraphy are still the most concerned and most involved in the market.

With the participation of academic resources, the cultivation of auction companies, market adjustments and upgrades, and the accumulation of participants’ information, the future market price system will be more dependent on the history of fine arts, and important works will not be ignored by the market.

The status of modern masters in the history of art has been established and has a high degree of recognition in the eyes of collectors and buyers, and their prices have been underestimated by the market in the past. Compared with Western modern painters, the prices of the two are vastly different from each other. The works of modern Western masters are frequently worth tens of millions of US dollars. We have not yet reached such a level. With the improvement of the national economic level, the price of works of modern masters should have risen to this level of strength.

In 2010, Zhang Daqian, Li Keran, and Xu Beihong's works were sold over 100 million in succession. Who will be the master of the next billion of works? Of course, Qi Baishi, Fu Baoshi, Huang Binhong, Pan Tianshou, and Lin Fengmian all have the potential to reach the 100 million mark. Qi Baishi and Fu Baoshi’s current price is already close to 100 million yuan, and Huang Binhong is generally recognized as a landscape artist. He is a key figure in the modernization of ancient landscape painting. Although it has risen in 2003, the overall price has been low, and prices have continued to rise. There is a lot of space. In addition, Ye Qianyu is a well-known figure painter, but his price is still not high, the overall situation is low, and the value-added potential is very large. In the history of art, Chen Zhifo, known as “Nan Chen Bei Yu Yu,” whose price is very low compared to non-dark, has great potential for value addition.

In addition to these masters, representative painters from all regions are worth paying attention to, because each region has a group of buyers chasing the works of painters in the region. Some "minister artists" works are likely to become "dark horses" in the market.

Contemporary paintings are constantly adjusted and steadily increased

Since the rise of contemporary painting and calligraphy from 2004 to 2006, it has been in an adjustment period. Apart from the fact that a few contemporary masterpieces are good for the auction market, the overall price of contemporary painting and calligraphy has not reached the desired height. However, the overall increase in the price of Chinese painting and calligraphy is a necessity for the development of contemporary painting and calligraphy. Those artists who have been on the market for a long time and have done a relatively good job have risen to a certain level, and a business model has been formed. As the overall price rises, contemporary paintings at low and mid-range prices will also rise.

Although there is no shortage of surprising “high prices” in Chinese calligraphy, the overall Chinese calligraphic market is in a low state and presents a serious polarization. Due to the particularity of the art of calligraphy itself, it is difficult for most people to enjoy it. The number of participants is small, and the market is always small. In recent years, calligraphy has grown significantly in the auction market, and its value has slowly been re-examined. In 2011, the price increase of calligraphy works is an inevitable development of the market, but basically still the ancient and modern calligraphy works, while the works of contemporary book writers are mainly concentrated in Liu Bingsen, Qi Gong, Shen Peng, Ouyang Zhongshi and others. , famous. Among them, the identity and status of the book family play a decisive role. The most promising ones are the famous calligraphy and letter manuscripts.