The "winter" of the textile industry is still spreading

"We have been doing business in this industry for more than 10 years. Business has never been so difficult to do as it was this year." Wu Jiang Lily Textile Company CEO Zhang Xinsu was busy and told reporters.

Zhang Xinsu's office is located in Shengze Town, Wujiang, Jiangsu, which is one of the centers of the textile industry in the world. His company is a wave in the sea of ​​Shengze textile industry.

The reporter found that the textile industry's "winter" is still spreading, textile companies generally feel that business is difficult to do, in Jiaxing, Wujiang and other textile industry gathering place, over the past six months, there have been more than 40 textile business owners "running."

The frequent occurrence of “running up” by the bosses is a real winter for many companies in the textile industry. There is a serious overcapacity, sluggish sales of products and underemployment. Behind this is the common torment of many small and medium-sized textile companies.

A board chairman of a medium-sized textile company in Jiangsu told this reporter that according to incomplete statistics, Jiaxing has recently closed down more than a dozen textile companies. Several of the bosses have ran off and there are no shortages of financial institutions such as large state-owned banks.

According to incomplete statistics from a chairman of a medium-sized textile machinery company in Wujiang, Jiangsu, over the past six months, there have been dozens of textile mill owners running alone in Wujiang.

"Textile companies tend to interconnect and protect each other, and one textile mill will fall down." The chairman of Wujiang's medium-sized company said, "Just in early December, another major textile company in Shengjiang, Wujiang, was facing bankruptcy. The balance is about 600 million yuan, and a real estate company with a ** balance of 1 billion yuan will protect each other. If both of them fall down, I estimate that at least a hundred companies will be involved."

According to the chairman of Wujiang’s medium-sized company, what he currently knows is that in Wujiang, there are no shortage of large-scale state-owned banks and other banks that have been involved in the shock of textile companies’ bosses. According to his estimation, the situation will become more serious next year, and a considerable number of companies may stop production after New Year's Day.

Liu Xuewen, chairman of Jiangsu Qunguan Textile, told the reporter that the current serious overcapacity in the textile industry and serious inventory backlog. According to his observations, many manufacturers in the industry "as long as someone buys, lose money is also willing to sell, 1 cent does not have to pay deposit, credit card After 9 months, payment will be made."

The reversal of the relationship between supply and demand is a direct cause of severe business operations. In recent years, there has been a huge expansion in production capacity, but demand has not risen sharply and textile fabric prices have started to decline.

"Embrellas earned a dollar or two per meter last year. This year's general loss of 5 cents per meter, mainly due to the expansion of capacity in the second half of last year, was too severe." A person in charge of HSBC Textile, who asked not to be named, told this reporter: "Now back The money is slow. In the past 1 month, it is now difficult for 3 months. Bank liquidity is difficult to implement first. Second, interest rates are too high, at least 10%, and it is very stressful."

According to the above-mentioned person in charge of HSBC Textile, most of the varieties currently have excess capacity. "Some 1.2 yuan / meter processing costs, 9 cents to sell people do not, put the warehouse can not sell, want to do?"

The bottom is long and the textile industry is a cyclical industry.

Recalling the time from 2010 to the first half of 2011, the owners of textile companies interviewed felt that it was a feast.

Liu Xuewen recalled that at that time, for every 1 meter of cloth produced, it was often possible to earn 35 cents, and the capacity of the textile mill was huge. If this high profit can be maintained, the prospects are too great.

This is a wave of warm cycles. In fact, as early as 2007, the textile industry already had a large area of ​​overcapacity. In 2008, the financial crisis eliminated a batch of production capacity. The survived enterprises arrived in 2010 and spring came.

But the feast lasted only two years and the cold quickly arrived. The reversal of the heavy fire and two heavy skies stems from the large capacity expansion in the previous two or three years. Liu Xuewen stated that the capacity newly launched during the past few years is estimated to exceed the total of the previous 20 years.

According to Liu Xuewen, the current industry supporting system for the textile industry is already very mature. The new factory has been set up to reach production from the start. If it is faster, it will only take four months. The expansion of production capacity is now much easier than it was 15 years ago.

For example, mechanical equipment, a water jet loom, had previously been imported from Japan, and the price per unit was as high as 300,000 yuan. In recent years, with the continuous improvement of the cost performance of domestic machinery and equipment, the purchase of home-made equipment has become the first choice for many textile mills. Each water-jet looms can often be settled for about 40,000 yuan.

A slightly larger factory can produce 1 million meters of cloth a day, which is equivalent to 1 million pants a day.

How fast is the capacity expansion?

Take Xuzhou Xinxun as an example. In the past five years, the new capital has entered the textile industry more than the sum of the previous 15 years. In the past, there were only about 200 jet looms in Xinyi, which now exceed 2,500. In Huai'an and Suqian, a large number of textile mills have moved in or built new ones.

Local governments play an important role in capacity expansion. Several heads of textile companies all told this reporter that some underdeveloped regions have spared no effort in attracting investment, and land and factories are almost free. In addition, they have helped to coordinate **, taxation has been greatly reduced, and textile mills have calculated that they almost do not need to provide funds. Can open a new factory.

Textile companies also have serious stocks. According to the China Changzhi Silk Weaving Association's “Summer 2013 Field Study Report on Filament Weaving for Small and Medium-sized Enterprises”, the average inventory of enterprises visited by each place was within 2 to 3 months. Individual companies’ inventory has exceeded 4 months, and even reached 6 months. Shengze, a small company that has stopped production, has an annual output of 3 million meters, but its inventory has exceeded 5 million meters.

Liu Xuewen believes that in the next few years, the textile industry will eliminate half of its production capacity before it can restore its balance.

Overcapacity, prices have fallen, and the cost of textile mills has been rising.

Xu Wenying, vice president of the China Textile Industry Federation, previously found that the labor costs of the chemical fiber weaving industry have been rising year by year, and the pressures for rising costs of various production factors have become apparent. For example, there are 120,000 air-jet air-jet looms in Wujiang, Jiangsu, and weavers have become the most sought-after occupations. Therefore, Wujiang has become the highest salary area in the textile industry in the country. The 8-hour hourly wage has reached 4,500 yuan per month. .

Another statistical data shows that the polarization of the textile industry is still a "well-off."

From the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Consumer Products Industry Division, from January to September this year, textile enterprises above designated size achieved a total income of 4.5586 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.7% year-on-year, 2.4 percentage points higher than the same period last year; total profit of 215.2 billion yuan, The year-on-year increase was 17.4%, which was 17% higher than the same period of last year.

The data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows that from January to October 2013, the industrial added value of China's textile industry increased by 8.5% year-on-year, slightly lower than that in the first half of the year. Among them, the textile industry increased by 9.2% year-on-year, which was 0.4% slower than that in the first half of the year; the apparel industry increased by 7.5% year-on-year, which was the same as that in the first half of the year; the chemical fiber industry increased by 10.0% year-on-year, 0.3% higher than that in the first half of the year.

However, the feelings of the Chairman of the above-mentioned textile machinery company are very different. He firmly believes that the situation of the textile industry is more difficult than that reflected by statistics.

In this regard, editor Wang Qianjin believes that the deviation of statistical data from company's feelings must be analyzed in detail. He believes that the statistical scope of the National Bureau of Statistics is 30,000 textile enterprises above designated size, but there are hundreds of thousands of textile enterprises in the country. Statistics can not be fully covered. In addition, in the statistics companies, polarization has also increased in recent years. The more obvious. At present, a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises are caught in the cold winter, while the top companies have realized profit growth.

Compared with the small and medium-sized enterprises that have been killed in the “Red Sea”, the enterprises with advantages in scale and R&D ability are in a much better position. Many companies have created a new path through innovation.

Shengze, a domestic chemical fiber giant's staff told this reporter, their products are high-end, this year, "can be", chemical fiber production and sales are basically the same. In his view, chemical fiber products as a raw material for the textile industry, the basic demand is large, the market demand for product quality and performance are improving.

A typical product of the above-mentioned chemical fiber giant's innovation to open up a new path is memory fiber. In terms of upstream materials for the memory fiber, the company's biological pdo project has started construction. After the company achieved a breakthrough in the synthesis of ptt polyester technology, the cost of the company's ptt polyester product is 15,000 to 16,000 yuan/ton, which is much lower than the current DuPont company. 21,500 yuan / ton monopoly price.

Xu Wenying recently mentioned in an industry forum that in recent years, China's coastal enterprises in Fujian have further breakthroughs in the development of fine denier nylon high density fabrics. The products are widely used in outdoor sportswear, winter clothes, etc., not only sought after by the domestic market, but also Gradually won the recognition of the international market. Some enterprises have always been able to reach the forefront of the development of the industry and lead the development of the industry.